Ulta Beauty Valuation

ULTA Stock  USD 647.36  16.26  2.58%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Ulta Beauty has a current Real Value of $702.64 per share. The regular price of the company is $647.36. Our model measures the value of Ulta Beauty from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 44.36 M, return on equity of 0.48, and Operating Margin of 0.11 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ulta Beauty's valuation include:
Price Book
10.633
Enterprise Value
30.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.1929
Price Sales
2.4225
Forward PE
22.4719
Undervalued
Today
647.36
Please note that Ulta Beauty's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ulta Beauty is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ulta Beauty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ulta Beauty is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ulta Stock. However, Ulta Beauty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  647.36 Real  702.64 Target  674.58 Hype  646.99 Naive  615.16
The real value of Ulta Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ulta Beauty Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ulta Beauty's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ulta Beauty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
582.62
Downside
702.64
Real Value
704.85
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ulta Beauty helps investors to forecast how Ulta stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ulta Beauty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ulta Beauty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
6.337.156.46
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
644.78646.99649.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
612.95615.16617.38
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
613.87674.58748.79
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ulta Beauty's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ulta Beauty's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ulta Beauty's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Ulta Beauty we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Ulta Beauty Cash

849.12 Million

Ulta Revenue by Product

Ulta Beauty Total Value Analysis

Ulta Beauty is at this time anticipated to have valuation of 30.37 B with market capitalization of 29.03 B, debt of 1.92 B, and cash on hands of 434.23 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ulta Beauty fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
30.37 B
29.03 B
1.92 B
434.23 M

Ulta Beauty Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.67. Ulta Beauty recorded earning per share (EPS) of 26.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2012. Based on the key measurements obtained from Ulta Beauty's financial statements, Ulta Beauty is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.07820.13
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Ulta Beauty Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ulta Beauty has an asset utilization ratio of 188.21 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.88 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ulta Beauty is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Ulta Beauty Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Ulta Beauty's financial statements, Ulta Beauty may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Ulta Beauty's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2005-04-30
Previous Quarter
260.9 M
Current Value
230.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
115.4 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 5.3 B, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.08.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.270.35
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.05180.0957
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.07820.13
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.07550.13
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.0960.18
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.460.43
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For Ulta Beauty profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ulta Beauty to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ulta Beauty utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ulta Beauty's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ulta Beauty over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Ulta Beauty Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Ulta Beauty is estimated to be 7.15 with future projections ranging from a low of 6.325 to a high of 6.4625. Ulta Beauty's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 26.74. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ulta Beauty is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ulta Beauty is projected to generate 7.15 in earnings per share on the 31st of January 2026. Ulta Beauty earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ulta Beauty EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ulta Beauty's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ulta Beauty, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ulta Beauty Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ulta Beauty's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ulta Beauty is estimated to be 7.15 with the future projection ranging from a low of 6.325 to a high of 6.4625. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ulta Beauty is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
5.14
6.33
Lowest
Expected EPS
7.15
6.46
Highest

Ulta Beauty Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ulta Beauty's value are higher than the current market price of the Ulta Beauty stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ulta Beauty is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ulta Beauty's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of January 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2889.33%
5.14
7.15
26.74

Ulta Beauty Ownership Allocation

Ulta Beauty shows a total of 44.36 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Ulta Beauty outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Ulta Beauty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Ulta Beauty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Ulta Beauty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly sixty-two thousand one hundred seven invesors are currently shorting Ulta Beauty expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Ulta Beauty Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.3 B. Net Income was 1.2 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.14 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ulta Beauty's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ulta Beauty and how it compares across the competition.

About Ulta Beauty Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ulta Beauty's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ulta Beauty. We calculate exposure to Ulta Beauty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ulta Beauty's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB5.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.27 

Ulta Beauty Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.4 M
Forward Price Earnings22.4719

Ulta Beauty Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Ulta Beauty and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Ulta we look at many different elements of the entity such as Ulta's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ulta Beauty, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ulta Beauty's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ulta Beauty's worth.

Complementary Tools for Ulta Stock analysis

When running Ulta Beauty's price analysis, check to measure Ulta Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulta Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Ulta Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulta Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulta Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulta Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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